Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.390138 0.449539 0.511839 0.581770 0.657804 0.737705 0.827752
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.316309 0.399866 0.492632 0.602152 0.726824 0.863297 1.022946
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.247877 0.344147 0.457164 0.597010 0.762840 0.950807 1.177562
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.211670 0.319833 0.453185 0.624806 0.835107 1.080029 1.382435
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.172500 0.285342 0.431723 0.627623 0.875360 1.171263 1.544426
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.141539 0.256480 0.413187 0.630722 0.913781 1.259487 1.703483
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.120602 0.238088 0.405702 0.645967 0.966282 1.364799 1.884301
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.104881 0.224727 0.403081 0.666207 1.024517 1.477433 2.075316
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.091479 0.212687 0.400609 0.685440 1.080914 1.587996 2.264896
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.075127 0.192739 0.384037 0.682964 1.106999 1.659178 2.405131
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.064403 0.180713 0.378062 0.694560 1.151591 1.754316 2.576450
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051883 0.162678 0.360441 0.687280 1.168845 1.812933 2.700862
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038948 0.140869 0.334521 0.666140 1.166207 1.845774 2.793778
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032869 0.132518 0.330675 0.678556 1.211531 1.943617 2.972968
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024953 0.117338 0.312757 0.667162 1.221228 1.992608 3.087898
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022231 0.114878 0.318099 0.693513 1.287074 2.119580 3.307997
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017565 0.105295 0.308582 0.694403 1.314385 2.193158 3.457131
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013807 0.096861 0.300228 0.696443 1.343005 2.268553 3.609180
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011568 0.092578 0.299860 0.711954 1.392324 2.373516 3.802194
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009977 0.090004 0.302767 0.733073 1.450484 2.491477 4.013780
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008540 0.087374 0.305213 0.753281 1.507422 2.608216 4.224639
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006302 0.079692 0.295307 0.750474 1.527660 2.672234 4.363352
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.005046 0.075833 0.293758 0.762718 1.571861 2.771154 4.550960